Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.020877 0.023094 0.025307 0.027678 0.030138 0.032613 0.035285
2025-02-23 0.016399 0.019908 0.023540 0.027551 0.031830 0.036236 0.041094
2025-03-02 0.013550 0.017765 0.022253 0.027323 0.032833 0.038593 0.045027
2025-03-09 0.011529 0.016245 0.021399 0.027333 0.033879 0.040803 0.048611
2025-03-16 0.009553 0.014570 0.020205 0.026815 0.034212 0.042121 0.051119
2025-03-23 0.008244 0.013538 0.019630 0.026893 0.035116 0.043983 0.054138
2025-03-30 0.006899 0.012339 0.018771 0.026569 0.035502 0.045216 0.056413
2025-04-06 0.005654 0.011148 0.017839 0.026094 0.035659 0.046146 0.058307
2025-04-13 0.004241 0.009593 0.016374 0.024921 0.034961 0.046073 0.059046
2025-04-20 0.003731 0.009209 0.016315 0.025381 0.036111 0.048044 0.062027
2025-04-27 0.002977 0.008391 0.015661 0.025089 0.036360 0.048975 0.063825
2025-05-04 0.002221 0.007465 0.014811 0.024519 0.036251 0.049473 0.065114
2025-05-11 0.001723 0.006926 0.014509 0.024695 0.037115 0.051193 0.067911
2025-05-18 0.001191 0.006232 0.013977 0.024588 0.037665 0.052583 0.070378
2025-05-25 0.000739 0.005540 0.013388 0.024370 0.038050 0.053756 0.072572
2025-06-01 0.000434 0.005020 0.013001 0.024379 0.038686 0.055200 0.075055
2025-06-08 0.000148 0.004298 0.012255 0.023886 0.038685 0.055882 0.076651
2025-06-15 0.000032 0.003897 0.011958 0.023961 0.039360 0.057339 0.079117
2025-06-22 NaN 0.003359 0.011395 0.023652 0.039544 0.058203 0.080888
2025-06-29 NaN 0.002808 0.010749 0.023200 0.039527 0.058815 0.082354
2025-07-06 NaN 0.002064 0.009659 0.022086 0.038649 0.058383 0.082594
2025-07-13 NaN 0.001936 0.009681 0.022522 0.039722 0.060264 0.085505
2025-07-20 NaN 0.001582 0.009217 0.022246 0.039874 0.061035 0.087118